- The U.S. is going to have a GHG emissions reduction scheme either through legislation or regulation.
- Congress is likely to take a more flexible (including, most importantly establishing a cap-and-trade system) approach to reducing GHG emissions; this is largely linked to the fact that the multiple stakeholder groups will have greater influence over elected representatives and senators than the "unelected" regulators in the EPA.
- No industry sector will want to be left out of the political discussions; expect increased lobbying of politicians as well as more TV and radio ads by stakeholder groups aiming to frame the overall issue; from past experience industry is well aware that it is easier to have "a seat at the table" during the legislative process as contrasted to the regulatory process.
- Left-wing and right-wing talkers, bloggers and other "self-anointed experts" will attempt to rally their own bases; whether this will add anything to the overall debate is questionable at best; what it will do is give the talkers another issue to ruminate over for the foreseeable future and a good way to increase ratings.
- The U.S. has increased its global credibility in terms of addressing climate change; but the U.S. is so far behind the European Union that even with an enormous effort this year, the U.S. is unlikely to take the global leadership role away from the Europeans (a role, incidentally, that the Europeans greatly cherish).
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Friday, April 17, 2009
The proposed finding now enters a 60 day public comment period, which is the next step in the required deliberation process that EPA must take before issuing a final finding.
EPA Administrator Lisa P. Jackson said, "This finding confirms that greenhouse gas pollution is a serious problem now and for future generations. Fortunately, it follows President Obama's call for a low carbon economy and strong leadership in Congress on clean energy and climate legislation."
Addressing the seriousness of the challenge of climate change, Ms. Jackson said, "In both magnitude and probability, climate change is an enormous problem. The greenhouse gases that are responsible for it endanger public health and welfare within the meaning of the Clean Air Act."
The announcement came two years after the U.S. Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. EPA ordered the agency to determine whether GHGs should be regulated under the Clean Air Act.
Former Bush administration EPA general counsel Roger Martella said, "The proposed endangerment finding marks the official beginning of an era of controlling carbon in the U.S. This means that EPA's mission of environmental protection will burst outside those bounds and place it on the stage as one of the most influential regulators of both energy use and the greater economy in the upcoming year," according to The Washington Post ("EPA Proposes Regulating Greenhouse Gas Emissions," April 17, 2009).
The proposed finding involves six gases:
- Carbon dioxide
- Nitrous oxide
- Sulfur hexafluoride
- The proposed finding does not include any proposed regulations; that step would be undertaken only after a "final" finding of endangerment and hearing from stakeholders.
The proposed finding does not include proposed regulations. They would be proposed and adopted only after the endangerment finding becomes final.
Meanwhile, legislation -- the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 -- authored by U.S. House Energy Committee Chair Henry Waxman (D-CA) and aimed at establishing a GHG cap-and-trade system, will be considered by the House in the next few weeks.
So which approach is better? Legislative or regulatory? It depends on your position in the overall debate.
Legislative: More flexible, greater stakeholder influence
U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer, chair of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, favors the legislative approach. "The best and most flexible way to deal with this serious problem is to enact a market-based cap-and-trade system which will help us to make the transition to clean energy and will bring us innovation and strong economic growth," according to the BNA Daily Environment Report ("EPA Issues Proposes Rules Finding Greenhouse Gases Endanger Health, Welfare," April 17, 2009).
Administrator Jackson has also voiced a preference for legislation.
Business will also prefer this approach now that it is clear that the U.S. will take action on reducing GHGs. The reason is that the chances of the various industrial sectors having their views taken into account is much greater in the legislative process where they can seek to influence politicians than in the regulatory process where their influence will be considerably less. This is made all the more important bearing in mind that while Congress is likely to establish a cap-and-trade system, the EPA is likely to mandate what measures industry must take and skip the cap-and-trade system. For business this is a key issue since they always prefer more flexibility to less flexibility.
Regulatory: More control by EPA, probably a less flexible reduction system
If it becomes impossible for Congress to enact GHG-related legislation, then the regulatory approach can be undertaken through the authority of the Obama administration acting on its own. If this approach is taken, the likelihood for robust involvement from the various stakeholders, perhaps most importantly those who prefer a very "conservative" approach will be lessened.
More specifically, while EPA must take account of the various stakeholders' positions in the final analysis the agency will do pretty much what it so desires.
This approach, however, is likely to be susceptible to legal challenge but not before the endangerment ruling is finalized.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
The legislation, Mr. Dimas has said, is "really encouraging," according to the BNA International Environment Reporter. Mr. Dimas, who is a strong supporter of the EU emissions trading scheme, went on to say, "I am sure [the U.S.] will come up with even more ambitious [GHG reduction] targets. Let's see how the debate will evolve."
While congressmen and women generally like to have wide support for their proposals, attracting the enthusiastic support of a key EU official may not be what they had in mind.
No offense to Mr. Dimas, but this is sure to become a "talking point" for right-wing U.S. commentators.
The precatuionary principle and the federal legislatsion were discussed this morning on National Public Radio's Morning Edition ( "Is 'Better Safe Than Sorry' Reason Enough for Law?" April 15, 2009).
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
- Austin Energy: 82.6 megawatts
- Portland General Electric: 77.9 megawatts
- PacifiCorp: 56.3 megawatts
- Xcel Energy: 41.3 megawatts
- Sacramento Municipal Utility District: 37.1 megawatts
- Edmond Electric: 6.4% of load
- Austin Electric: 6.0%
- River Falls Municipal Utilities: 5.8%
- City of Palo Alto Utilities: 5.7%
- Portland General Electric: 3.9%